Closes #017 - Fix KaTeX rendering corruption and inject detailed blueprint contents
This commit is contained in:
20
DEV_LOG.md
20
DEV_LOG.md
@@ -182,3 +182,23 @@ This document tracks all modifications, npm packages, active compilation states,
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### Active Bugs / Compile Status
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### Active Bugs / Compile Status
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* **Active Bugs**: None.
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* **Active Bugs**: None.
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* **Type Checker Status**: Verified 100% clean compilation (`npx tsc --noEmit` returns exit code 0).
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* **Type Checker Status**: Verified 100% clean compilation (`npx tsc --noEmit` returns exit code 0).
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---
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## [2026-06-14] - Master-Pattern KaTeX Fix & Deep Blueprint Injection (#ISSUE-017)
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### Added
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* **Detailed Mathematics in Operational Blueprints**: Expanded and injected formal quantitative formulas, parameter definitions, and estimation window thresholds inside:
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* `components/modules/scanner/ScannerBlueprintModal.tsx` (Welles Wilder RSI-14 EMA smoothing, 52-Week Drop thresholds, and FMP Valuation Overlay to Forward P/E transitions).
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* `components/modules/events/EconometricsBlueprintModal.tsx` (Event Studies layout, 120-day Estimation Window, 10-day Gap Isolation Shield, and Cumulative Abnormal Returns CAR aggregation formulas).
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* `components/modules/tech/TechBlueprintModal.tsx` (AI CapEx cycle parameters, SEC 10-Q filing parsers, Monetization Gap, and Supply-Chain Velocity Index formulas).
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### Modified
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* **KaTeX "Kaputt-repariert" Mitigation**: Audited and rewritten `components/modules/crypto/CryptoMathModal.tsx` to completely resolve formatting corruption by establishing the golden master single-backslash pattern and converting all double backslashes (`\\`) in math strings to single backslashes (`\`), with correct matrix formatting.
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* **System-Wide Variable Unification**: Unified and wrapped all mathematical variables (such as `S_1`, `S_2`, `S_3`, `S_i`, `S_j`, `w`, `k` in Crypto, and other parameters across Scanner, Macro, and Econometrics modals) inside native `<InlineMath>` components.
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* **`QUANT_ROADMAP.md`**: Updated Section 1 and registered Phase 5.5.
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### Active Bugs / Compile Status
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* **Active Bugs**: None.
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* **Type Checker Status**: Verified 100% clean type verification (`npx tsc --noEmit` returns exit code 0).
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@@ -26,6 +26,9 @@ This document serves as the permanent, centralized system architecture design an
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* **Phase 5.0: Native KaTeX Rig & Dual-Handbook System**
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* **Phase 5.0: Native KaTeX Rig & Dual-Handbook System**
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* *Features*: Refactored all 8 sandbox modules to feature a unified twin-modal header layout (`📖 Quantitative Handbook` and `⚙️ Operational Blueprint`). Replaced all inline string-escaped LaTeX with native React `react-katex` calls to completely eliminate escaping anomalies. Authored 8 new functional operational blueprints explaining scanner, whale, and math mechanics.
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* *Features*: Refactored all 8 sandbox modules to feature a unified twin-modal header layout (`📖 Quantitative Handbook` and `⚙️ Operational Blueprint`). Replaced all inline string-escaped LaTeX with native React `react-katex` calls to completely eliminate escaping anomalies. Authored 8 new functional operational blueprints explaining scanner, whale, and math mechanics.
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* *Status*: **Fully Operational (Production Lock)**.
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* *Status*: **Fully Operational (Production Lock)**.
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* **Phase 5.5: Master-Pattern KaTeX Fix & Operational Blueprint Injection**
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* *Features*: Completely repaired remaining KaTeX rendering corruption in `CryptoMathModal.tsx` by converting it to the golden master single-backslash pattern. Unified math variables wrapping in text blocks across all math modals. Injected ultra-detailed operational specification matrices (Welles Wilder EMAs, Event Study isolation shields, abnormal returns, CAR, Monetization Gap, and Supply-Chain Velocity Index) directly into the operational blueprint modals for the Scanner, Econometrics, and Tech Silo modules.
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* *Status*: **Fully Operational (Production Lock)**.
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---
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---
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@@ -62,15 +62,15 @@ export default function CryptoMathModal({ isOpen, onClose }: CryptoMathModalProp
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</p>
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</p>
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<div className="grid grid-cols-3 gap-3 text-xs text-slate-400 font-mono text-center">
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<div className="grid grid-cols-3 gap-3 text-xs text-slate-400 font-mono text-center">
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-3 rounded-lg border border-slate-800/50">
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-3 rounded-lg border border-slate-800/50">
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<span className="block text-rose-400 font-bold">State 1 (S1)</span>
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<span className="block text-rose-400 font-bold">State 1 (<InlineMath math="S_1" />)</span>
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<span>Bearish Squeeze / Crackdown</span>
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<span>Bearish Squeeze / Crackdown</span>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-3 rounded-lg border border-slate-800/50">
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-3 rounded-lg border border-slate-800/50">
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<span className="block text-slate-300 font-bold">State 2 (S2)</span>
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<span className="block text-slate-300 font-bold">State 2 (<InlineMath math="S_2" />)</span>
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<span>Consolidation / Mean Reversion</span>
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<span>Consolidation / Mean Reversion</span>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-3 rounded-lg border border-slate-800/50">
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-3 rounded-lg border border-slate-800/50">
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<span className="block text-emerald-400 font-bold">State 3 (S3)</span>
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<span className="block text-emerald-400 font-bold">State 3 (<InlineMath math="S_3" />)</span>
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<span>Parabolic Bull Run</span>
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<span>Parabolic Bull Run</span>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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@@ -83,9 +83,9 @@ export default function CryptoMathModal({ isOpen, onClose }: CryptoMathModalProp
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Calculates transition probabilities over rolling 90-day return vectors:
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Calculates transition probabilities over rolling 90-day return vectors:
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</p>
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</p>
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 my-2">
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 my-2">
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<BlockMath math="P = \\begin{bmatrix} p_{11} & p_{12} & p_{13} \\\\ p_{21} & p_{22} & p_{23} \\\\ p_{31} & p_{32} & p_{33} \\end{bmatrix}" />
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<BlockMath math="P = \begin{bmatrix} p_{11} & p_{12} & p_{13} \\ p_{21} & p_{22} & p_{23} \\ p_{31} & p_{32} & p_{33} \end{bmatrix}" />
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<p className="text-[11px] text-slate-400 font-mono mt-2 text-center">
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<p className="text-[11px] text-slate-400 font-mono mt-2 text-center">
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{"where "}<InlineMath math="p_{ij} = P(X_{t+1} = S_j \\mid X_t = S_i)" />{" represents the frequency probability of moving from State i to State j."}
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where <InlineMath math="p_{ij} = P(X_{t+1} = S_j \mid X_t = S_i)" /> represents the frequency probability of moving from State <InlineMath math="S_i" /> to State <InlineMath math="S_j" />.
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</p>
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</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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@@ -97,13 +97,13 @@ export default function CryptoMathModal({ isOpen, onClose }: CryptoMathModalProp
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When external alpha inputs (e.g. Funding Rate anomalies, Whale inflows) occur, state probabilities are updated using Bayes' theorem:
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When external alpha inputs (e.g. Funding Rate anomalies, Whale inflows) occur, state probabilities are updated using Bayes' theorem:
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</p>
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</p>
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 my-2">
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 my-2">
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<BlockMath math="P(S_i \\mid \\text{Alpha}) = \\frac{P(\\text{Alpha} \\mid S_i) \\times P(S_i)}{\\sum_{j=1}^3 P(\\text{Alpha} \\mid S_j) \\times P(S_j)}" />
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<BlockMath math="P(S_i \mid \text{Alpha}) = \frac{P(\text{Alpha} \mid S_i) \times P(S_i)}{\sum_{j=1}^3 P(\text{Alpha} \mid S_j) \times P(S_j)}" />
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<p className="text-[11px] text-slate-400 mt-2 font-mono leading-relaxed">
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<p className="text-[11px] text-slate-400 mt-2 font-mono leading-relaxed">
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{"Where:"}
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Where:
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<br />
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<br />
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{"- "}<InlineMath math="P(S_i)" />{" is the prior state probability from the Markov transition matrix."}
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- <InlineMath math="P(S_i)" /> is the prior state probability from the Markov transition matrix.
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<br />
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<br />
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{"- "}<InlineMath math="P(\\text{Alpha} \\mid S_i)" />{" is the conditional likelihood of observing this whale spike / funding squeeze in State i."}
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- <InlineMath math="P(\text{Alpha} \mid S_i)" /> is the conditional likelihood of observing this whale spike / funding squeeze in State <InlineMath math="S_i" />.
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</p>
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</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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@@ -125,7 +125,7 @@ export default function CryptoMathModal({ isOpen, onClose }: CryptoMathModalProp
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed pt-2">
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed pt-2">
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The Random Forest ensemble evaluates 10 non-linear decision trees to output the short-term and medium-term trend probabilities:
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The Random Forest ensemble evaluates 10 non-linear decision trees to output the short-term and medium-term trend probabilities:
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</p>
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</p>
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<BlockMath math="P_{\\text{ML}} = \\frac{1}{M} \\sum_{m=1}^{M} T_m(FR_t, OI_t, LS_t, W_t)" />
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<BlockMath math="P_{\text{ML}} = \frac{1}{M} \sum_{m=1}^{M} T_m(FR_t, OI_t, LS_t, W_t)" />
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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@@ -138,23 +138,23 @@ export default function CryptoMathModal({ isOpen, onClose }: CryptoMathModalProp
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-850 space-y-4">
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-850 space-y-4">
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<div>
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<div>
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-350 mb-2 font-semibold">1. Prior Distribution (Accuracy History):</p>
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-350 mb-2 font-semibold">1. Prior Distribution (Accuracy History):</p>
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<BlockMath math="\\theta \\sim \\text{Beta}(\\alpha_{\\text{prior}}, \\beta_{\\text{prior}})" />
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<BlockMath math="\theta \sim \text{Beta}(\alpha_{\text{prior}}, \beta_{\text{prior}})" />
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<p className="text-[10px] text-slate-500 font-mono">
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<p className="text-[10px] text-slate-500 font-mono">
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where <InlineMath math="\\alpha_{\\text{prior}}" /> represents historical prediction successes and <InlineMath math="\\beta_{\\text{prior}}" /> represents false alarms.
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where <InlineMath math="\alpha_{\text{prior}}" /> represents historical prediction successes and <InlineMath math="\beta_{\text{prior}}" /> represents false alarms.
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</p>
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</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div>
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<div>
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-350 mb-2 font-semibold">2. Likelihood Formulation (Binomial pseudo-observations):</p>
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-350 mb-2 font-semibold">2. Likelihood Formulation (Binomial pseudo-observations):</p>
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<BlockMath math="P(x \\mid \\theta) = \\binom{w}{k} \\theta^k (1 - \\theta)^{w - k}" />
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<BlockMath math="P(x \mid \theta) = \binom{w}{k} \theta^k (1 - \theta)^{w - k}" />
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<p className="text-[10px] text-slate-500 font-mono">
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<p className="text-[10px] text-slate-500 font-mono">
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where <InlineMath math="k = P_{\\text{ML}} \\times w" /> is the number of simulated successes and <InlineMath math="w - k = (1 - P_{\\text{ML}}) \\times w" /> is the number of simulated failures.
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where <InlineMath math="k = P_{\text{ML}} \times w" /> is the number of simulated successes and <InlineMath math="w - k = (1 - P_{\text{ML}}) \times w" /> is the number of simulated failures.
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</p>
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</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div>
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<div>
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-350 mb-2 font-semibold">3. Conjugate Posterior Update:</p>
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-350 mb-2 font-semibold">3. Conjugate Posterior Update:</p>
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<BlockMath math="\\alpha_{\\text{post}} = \\alpha_{\\text{prior}} + k, \\quad \\beta_{\\text{post}} = \\beta_{\\text{prior}} + (w - k)" />
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<BlockMath math="\alpha_{\text{post}} = \alpha_{\text{prior}} + k, \quad \beta_{\text{post}} = \beta_{\text{prior}} + (w - k)" />
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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@@ -163,20 +163,20 @@ export default function CryptoMathModal({ isOpen, onClose }: CryptoMathModalProp
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<div className="space-y-3">
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<div className="space-y-3">
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<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-cyan-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">F. Mathematical Proof of Posterior Mean Integration</h4>
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<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-cyan-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">F. Mathematical Proof of Posterior Mean Integration</h4>
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<p className="text-xs leading-relaxed text-slate-400">
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<p className="text-xs leading-relaxed text-slate-400">
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To resolve a single operational point-estimate from our posterior distribution, we integrate out the continuous parameter <InlineMath math="\\theta" /> to calculate the mathematical expectation of the posterior distribution:
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To resolve a single operational point-estimate from our posterior distribution, we integrate out the continuous parameter <InlineMath math="\theta" /> to calculate the mathematical expectation of the posterior distribution:
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</p>
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</p>
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-850 space-y-4">
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<div className="bg-slate-950/40 p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-850 space-y-4">
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-350 font-semibold">Posterior Expectation Integral Proof:</p>
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-350 font-semibold">Posterior Expectation Integral Proof:</p>
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<BlockMath math="\\mathbb{E}[\\theta \\mid \\text{Data}] = \\int_{0}^{1} \\theta \\cdot P(\\theta \\mid \\text{Data}) \\, d\\theta = \\int_{0}^{1} \\theta \\cdot \\frac{\\theta^{\\alpha_{\\text{post}}-1}(1-\\theta)^{\\beta_{\\text{post}}-1}}{\\text{B}(\\alpha_{\\text{post}}, \\beta_{\\text{post}})} \\, d\\theta" />
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<BlockMath math="\mathbb{E}[\theta \mid \text{Data}] = \int_{0}^{1} \theta \cdot P(\theta \mid \text{Data}) \, d\theta = \int_{0}^{1} \theta \cdot \frac{\theta^{\alpha_{\text{post}}-1}(1-\theta)^{\beta_{\text{post}}-1}}{\text{B}(\alpha_{\text{post}}, \beta_{\text{post}})} \, d\theta" />
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed">
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed">
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Using the definition of the Beta function <InlineMath math="\\text{B}(a, b) = \\frac{\\Gamma(a)\\Gamma(b)}{\\Gamma(a+b)}" /> and the recurrence relation <InlineMath math="\\Gamma(x+1) = x\\Gamma(x)" />:
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Using the definition of the Beta function <InlineMath math="\text{B}(a, b) = \frac{\Gamma(a)\Gamma(b)}{\Gamma(a+b)}" /> and the recurrence relation <InlineMath math="\Gamma(x+1) = x\Gamma(x)" />:
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</p>
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</p>
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<BlockMath math="\\mathbb{E}[\\theta \\mid \\text{Data}] = \\frac{\\text{B}(\\alpha_{\\text{post}} + 1, \\beta_{\\text{post}})}{\\text{B}(\\alpha_{\\text{post}}, \\beta_{\\text{post}})} = \\frac{\\Gamma(\\alpha_{\\text{post}} + 1)\\Gamma(\\beta_{\\text{post}})}{\\Gamma(\\alpha_{\\text{post}} + \\beta_{\\text{post}} + 1)} \\cdot \\frac{\\Gamma(\\alpha_{\\text{post}} + \\beta_{\\text{post}})}{\\Gamma(\\alpha_{\\text{post}})\\Gamma(\\beta_{\\text{post}})}" />
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<BlockMath math="\mathbb{E}[\theta \mid \text{Data}] = \frac{\text{B}(\alpha_{\text{post}} + 1, \beta_{\text{post}})}{\text{B}(\alpha_{\text{post}}, \beta_{\text{post}})} = \frac{\Gamma(\alpha_{\text{post}} + 1)\Gamma(\beta_{\text{post}})}{\Gamma(\alpha_{\text{post}} + \beta_{\text{post}} + 1)} \cdot \frac{\Gamma(\alpha_{\text{post}} + \beta_{\text{post}})}{\Gamma(\alpha_{\text{post}})\Gamma(\beta_{\text{post}})}" />
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<BlockMath math="\\mathbb{E}[\\theta \\mid \\text{Data}] = \\frac{\\alpha_{\\text{post}}\\Gamma(\\alpha_{\\text{post}})\\Gamma(\\beta_{\\text{post}})}{(\\alpha_{\\text{post}} + \\beta_{\\text{post}})\\Gamma(\\alpha_{\\text{post}} + \\beta_{\\text{post}})} \\cdot \\frac{\\Gamma(\\alpha_{\\text{post}} + \\beta_{\\text{post}})}{\\Gamma(\\alpha_{\\text{post}})\\Gamma(\\beta_{\\text{post}})} = \\frac{\\alpha_{\\text{post}}}{\\alpha_{\\text{post}} + \\beta_{\\text{post}}}" />
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<BlockMath math="\mathbb{E}[\theta \mid \text{Data}] = \frac{\alpha_{\text{post}}\Gamma(\alpha_{\text{post}})\Gamma(\beta_{\text{post}})}{(\alpha_{\text{post}} + \beta_{\text{post}})\Gamma(\alpha_{\text{post}} + \beta_{\text{post}})} \cdot \frac{\Gamma(\alpha_{\text{post}} + \beta_{\text{post}})}{\Gamma(\alpha_{\text{post}})\Gamma(\beta_{\text{post}})} = \frac{\alpha_{\text{post}}}{\alpha_{\text{post}} + \beta_{\text{post}}}" />
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-350 font-semibold pt-2">Expanded Workstation Implementation Formula:</p>
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-350 font-semibold pt-2">Expanded Workstation Implementation Formula:</p>
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<BlockMath math="P_{\\text{Posterior}} = \\frac{\\alpha_{\\text{prior}} + (P_{\\text{ML}} \\times w)}{\\alpha_{\\text{prior}} + \\beta_{\\text{prior}} + w}" />
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<BlockMath math="P_{\text{Posterior}} = \frac{\alpha_{\text{prior}} + (P_{\text{ML}} \times w)}{\alpha_{\text{prior}} + \beta_{\text{prior}} + w}" />
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<p className="text-[10px] text-slate-500 font-mono leading-relaxed">
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<p className="text-[10px] text-slate-500 font-mono leading-relaxed">
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This formulation ensures that if the prior model is highly accurate (large <InlineMath math="\\alpha_{\\text{prior}}" />), the raw ML signal is smoothed towards historical baseline expectations. If historical errors are high, the prior variance restricts overreaction to noisy signals.
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This formulation ensures that if the prior model is highly accurate (large <InlineMath math="\alpha_{\text{prior}}" />), the raw ML signal is smoothed towards historical baseline expectations. If historical errors are high, the prior variance restricts overreaction to noisy signals.
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</p>
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</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
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import React from 'react';
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import React from 'react';
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import { Settings, X } from 'lucide-react';
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import { Settings, X } from 'lucide-react';
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import 'katex/dist/katex.min.css';
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import { BlockMath, InlineMath } from 'react-katex';
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interface EconometricsBlueprintModalProps {
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interface EconometricsBlueprintModalProps {
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isOpen: boolean;
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isOpen: boolean;
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@@ -25,7 +27,7 @@ export default function EconometricsBlueprintModal({ isOpen, onClose }: Economet
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return (
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return (
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<div className="fixed inset-0 z-50 flex items-center justify-center bg-slate-900/85 backdrop-blur-md p-4 sm:p-6 md:p-8 animate-fade-in">
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<div className="fixed inset-0 z-50 flex items-center justify-center bg-slate-900/85 backdrop-blur-md p-4 sm:p-6 md:p-8 animate-fade-in">
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<div className="bg-slate-900 border border-slate-800/80 rounded-3xl w-full max-w-4xl h-[80vh] flex flex-col overflow-hidden shadow-2xl relative text-slate-355">
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<div className="bg-slate-900 border border-slate-800/80 rounded-3xl w-full max-w-5xl h-[85vh] flex flex-col overflow-hidden shadow-2xl relative text-slate-355">
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{/* Modal Header */}
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{/* Modal Header */}
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<div className="flex justify-between items-center px-6 py-4 bg-slate-950/45 border-b border-slate-800/60">
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<div className="flex justify-between items-center px-6 py-4 bg-slate-950/45 border-b border-slate-800/60">
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@@ -49,33 +51,48 @@ export default function EconometricsBlueprintModal({ isOpen, onClose }: Economet
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<div className="border-b border-slate-800/80 pb-3">
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<div className="border-b border-slate-800/80 pb-3">
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<h3 className="text-base font-bold text-slate-200">Event Studies & Models</h3>
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<h3 className="text-base font-bold text-slate-200">Event Studies & Models</h3>
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 mt-1">Operational details of the econometric event study solver.</p>
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<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 mt-1">Operational details of the econometric event study solver, timeline configuration, and abnormal returns calculations.</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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{/* Core Mechanics */}
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{/* Core Mechanics */}
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||||||
<div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-4">
|
<div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
|
||||||
<div className="p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-2">
|
<div className="p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-3 flex flex-col">
|
||||||
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-indigo-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">1. Event Window Parameter Configuration</h4>
|
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-indigo-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">1. Event Window Configuration</h4>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans">
|
<div className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans space-y-2 flex-1">
|
||||||
Allows defining the timeline partitions for analysis:
|
<p>
|
||||||
* **Estimation Window**: Historical baseline period (e.g. 120 days) used to estimate the normal asset return relationships.
|
Allows defining the timeline partitions for analysis. The **120-day Estimation Window** serves to isolate market beta (<InlineMath math="\beta_i" />) and baseline alpha (<InlineMath math="\alpha_i" />) from standard market returns using OLS estimation:
|
||||||
* **Gap Window**: Separation buffer (e.g. 10 days) to prevent event-related leakages from skewing parameters.
|
</p>
|
||||||
* **Event Window**: Analysis window surrounding the event day (e.g. [-5, +5]).
|
<BlockMath math="R_{it} = \alpha_i + \beta_i R_{mt} + \epsilon_{it}" />
|
||||||
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
The **10-day Gap Window** acts as a strict mathematical **Isolation Shield** to prevent information leakage, pre-event front-running, or insider-related abnormal volatility from contaminating the baseline parameters.
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-2">
|
<div className="p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-3 flex flex-col">
|
||||||
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-indigo-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">2. Abnormal Returns (AR)</h4>
|
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-indigo-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">2. Abnormal Returns (AR)</h4>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans">
|
<div className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans space-y-2 flex-1">
|
||||||
Computes daily differences between the actual stock return and its expected "normal" return (using market-adjusted models or CAPM parameters derived during the estimation window).
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
Computes daily differences between the actual stock return (<InlineMath math="R_{it}" />) and its expected normal return:
|
||||||
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
<BlockMath math="AR_{it} = R_{it} - (\hat{\alpha}_i + \hat{\beta}_i R_{mt})" />
|
||||||
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
where <InlineMath math="\hat{\alpha}_i" /> and <InlineMath math="\hat{\beta}_i" /> are the OLS parameters estimated over the estimation window, and <InlineMath math="R_{mt}" /> represents the actual market benchmark index return on day <InlineMath math="t" />. This isolates the asset's idiosyncratic reaction to event-specific shocks.
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-2">
|
<div className="p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-3 flex flex-col">
|
||||||
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-indigo-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">3. Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CAR)</h4>
|
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-indigo-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">3. Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CAR)</h4>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans">
|
<div className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans space-y-2 flex-1">
|
||||||
Integrates and sums the daily abnormal returns across the event window. Determines whether an event (e.g. earnings release, regulatory fine, supply-chain shock) created statistically significant excess wealth changes.
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
Integrates and sums the daily abnormal returns across the specified event window to track the cumulative market shocks:
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
<BlockMath math="CAR_i(t_1, t_2) = \sum_{t=t_1}^{t_2} AR_{it}" />
|
||||||
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
where <InlineMath math="t_1" /> and <InlineMath math="t_2" /> define the bounds of the event window. This determines whether an event (e.g. earnings release, regulatory fine, supply-chain shock) created statistically significant excess wealth changes.
|
||||||
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -87,7 +104,7 @@ export default function EconometricsBlueprintModal({ isOpen, onClose }: Economet
|
|||||||
<strong className="text-indigo-400 font-semibold">Event Parameters Input Mask:</strong> Edit estimation days, gap days, event horizons, and click **"Run Event Study Solver"**. Initiates server-side calculations.
|
<strong className="text-indigo-400 font-semibold">Event Parameters Input Mask:</strong> Edit estimation days, gap days, event horizons, and click **"Run Event Study Solver"**. Initiates server-side calculations.
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
<p>
|
<p>
|
||||||
<strong className="text-indigo-400 font-semibold">CAR Event Charts:</strong> Renders a Recharts line chart illustrating the trajectory of Cumulative Abnormal Returns ($CAR$) across the event window. A significant deviation from zero indicates market inefficiency or corporate information shocks.
|
<strong className="text-indigo-400 font-semibold">CAR Event Charts:</strong> Renders a Recharts line chart illustrating the trajectory of Cumulative Abnormal Returns (<InlineMath math="CAR" />) across the event window. A significant deviation from zero indicates market inefficiency or corporate information shocks.
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
|
|||||||
import React from 'react';
|
import React from 'react';
|
||||||
import { Settings, X } from 'lucide-react';
|
import { Settings, X } from 'lucide-react';
|
||||||
|
import 'katex/dist/katex.min.css';
|
||||||
|
import { BlockMath, InlineMath } from 'react-katex';
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
interface ScannerBlueprintModalProps {
|
interface ScannerBlueprintModalProps {
|
||||||
isOpen: boolean;
|
isOpen: boolean;
|
||||||
@@ -25,7 +27,7 @@ export default function ScannerBlueprintModal({ isOpen, onClose }: ScannerBluepr
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
return (
|
return (
|
||||||
<div className="fixed inset-0 z-50 flex items-center justify-center bg-slate-900/85 backdrop-blur-md p-4 sm:p-6 md:p-8 animate-fade-in">
|
<div className="fixed inset-0 z-50 flex items-center justify-center bg-slate-900/85 backdrop-blur-md p-4 sm:p-6 md:p-8 animate-fade-in">
|
||||||
<div className="bg-slate-900 border border-slate-800/80 rounded-3xl w-full max-w-4xl h-[80vh] flex flex-col overflow-hidden shadow-2xl relative text-slate-350">
|
<div className="bg-slate-900 border border-slate-800/80 rounded-3xl w-full max-w-5xl h-[85vh] flex flex-col overflow-hidden shadow-2xl relative text-slate-350">
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{/* Modal Header */}
|
{/* Modal Header */}
|
||||||
<div className="flex justify-between items-center px-6 py-4 bg-slate-950/45 border-b border-slate-800/60">
|
<div className="flex justify-between items-center px-6 py-4 bg-slate-950/45 border-b border-slate-800/60">
|
||||||
@@ -49,30 +51,50 @@ export default function ScannerBlueprintModal({ isOpen, onClose }: ScannerBluepr
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="border-b border-slate-800/80 pb-3">
|
<div className="border-b border-slate-800/80 pb-3">
|
||||||
<h3 className="text-base font-bold text-slate-200">Scanner Metrics & Signals</h3>
|
<h3 className="text-base font-bold text-slate-200">Scanner Metrics & Signals</h3>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 mt-1">Operational details of the anomaly scanner and valuation filters.</p>
|
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 mt-1">Operational details of the anomaly scanner, technical velocity thresholds, and valuation overlays.</p>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{/* Core Mechanics */}
|
{/* Core Mechanics */}
|
||||||
<div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-4">
|
<div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
|
||||||
<div className="p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-2">
|
<div className="p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-3 flex flex-col">
|
||||||
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-emerald-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">1. 52-Week Drop Mechanics</h4>
|
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-emerald-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">1. 52-Week Drop Mechanics</h4>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans">
|
<div className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans space-y-2 flex-1">
|
||||||
Filters the stock database for liquid companies trading at significant percentage discounts relative to their 52-week peak. Isolates severe drawdowns caused by asymmetric market overreactions.
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
Filters the stock database for liquid companies trading at significant percentage discounts relative to their 52-week peak. The core threshold computes:
|
||||||
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
<BlockMath math="\Delta_{52w} = \frac{P_{\text{current}} - P_{52w\_high}}{P_{52w\_high}}" />
|
||||||
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
An alert is triggered when the price deviation exceeds a designated threshold (e.g. <InlineMath math="\Delta_{52w} \le -0.30" />), representing a 30% drop from the rolling high. It isolates severe drawdowns caused by asymmetric market overreactions, validating whether the pricing is a statistical dislocation or a permanent valuation impairment.
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-2">
|
<div className="p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-3 flex flex-col">
|
||||||
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-emerald-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">2. Welles Wilder RSI-14 Velocity</h4>
|
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-emerald-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">2. Welles Wilder RSI-14 Velocity</h4>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans">
|
<div className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans space-y-2 flex-1">
|
||||||
Uses the smoothed Wilder Relative Strength Index to identify deep oversold thresholds (RSI < 25). Momentum velocity measures standard deviation shocks in the indicator to forecast buy-exhaustion and selloff capitulations.
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
Uses the smoothed Welles Wilder Relative Strength Index to identify deep oversold thresholds (RSI <InlineMath math="< 30" />). Wilder smoothing calculations utilize modified EMAs for trend velocity:
|
||||||
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
<BlockMath math="S_{\text{gain}, t} = \frac{1}{14} U_t + \left(1 - \frac{1}{14}\right) S_{\text{gain}, t-1}" />
|
||||||
|
<BlockMath math="S_{\text{loss}, t} = \frac{1}{14} D_t + \left(1 - \frac{1}{14}\right) S_{\text{loss}, t-1}" />
|
||||||
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
where <InlineMath math="U_t" /> and <InlineMath math="D_t" /> represent upward and downward price changes. Relative Strength is <InlineMath math="\text{RS} = S_{\text{gain}, t} / S_{\text{loss}, t}" />. Momentum velocity measures standard deviation shocks in the indicator to forecast buy-exhaustion and selloff capitulations.
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-2">
|
<div className="p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-3 flex flex-col">
|
||||||
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-emerald-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">3. FMP Valuation Overlay</h4>
|
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-emerald-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">3. FMP Valuation Overlay</h4>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans">
|
<div className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans space-y-2 flex-1">
|
||||||
Parses active valuation multiples: Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Book (P/B), Dividend Yield, and Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) ratios. Analyzes whether the selloff is justified fundamentally or is a dislocation from value.
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
Integrates trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Book (P/B), and Dividend Yield (%), alongside the PEG-to-Forward P/E transition. Detail how PEG resolves to a growth rate and computes implicit Forward P/E:
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
<BlockMath math="g_{\text{implicit}} = \frac{\text{Trailing PE}}{\text{PEG} \times 100}" />
|
||||||
|
<BlockMath math="\text{Forward PE} = \frac{\text{Trailing PE}}{1 + g_{\text{implicit}}}" />
|
||||||
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
When the pricing drop matches these valuation filters, the system triggers a **High-Conviction Value Alert** to signal structural undervaluation rather than a value trap.
|
||||||
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
|
|||||||
import React from 'react';
|
import React from 'react';
|
||||||
import { Settings, X } from 'lucide-react';
|
import { Settings, X } from 'lucide-react';
|
||||||
|
import 'katex/dist/katex.min.css';
|
||||||
|
import { BlockMath, InlineMath } from 'react-katex';
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
interface TechBlueprintModalProps {
|
interface TechBlueprintModalProps {
|
||||||
isOpen: boolean;
|
isOpen: boolean;
|
||||||
@@ -25,7 +27,7 @@ export default function TechBlueprintModal({ isOpen, onClose }: TechBlueprintMod
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
return (
|
return (
|
||||||
<div className="fixed inset-0 z-50 flex items-center justify-center bg-slate-900/85 backdrop-blur-md p-4 sm:p-6 md:p-8 animate-fade-in">
|
<div className="fixed inset-0 z-50 flex items-center justify-center bg-slate-900/85 backdrop-blur-md p-4 sm:p-6 md:p-8 animate-fade-in">
|
||||||
<div className="bg-slate-900 border border-slate-800/80 rounded-3xl w-full max-w-4xl h-[80vh] flex flex-col overflow-hidden shadow-2xl relative text-slate-355">
|
<div className="bg-slate-900 border border-slate-800/80 rounded-3xl w-full max-w-5xl h-[85vh] flex flex-col overflow-hidden shadow-2xl relative text-slate-355">
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{/* Modal Header */}
|
{/* Modal Header */}
|
||||||
<div className="flex justify-between items-center px-6 py-4 bg-slate-950/45 border-b border-slate-800/60">
|
<div className="flex justify-between items-center px-6 py-4 bg-slate-950/45 border-b border-slate-800/60">
|
||||||
@@ -49,30 +51,48 @@ export default function TechBlueprintModal({ isOpen, onClose }: TechBlueprintMod
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="border-b border-slate-800/80 pb-3">
|
<div className="border-b border-slate-800/80 pb-3">
|
||||||
<h3 className="text-base font-bold text-slate-200">CapEx Cycle & Infrastructure Indicators</h3>
|
<h3 className="text-base font-bold text-slate-200">CapEx Cycle & Infrastructure Indicators</h3>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 mt-1">Operational details of tech overcapacity diagnosis.</p>
|
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 mt-1">Operational details of tech overcapacity diagnosis, segment monetization, and supply-chain metrics.</p>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{/* Core Mechanics */}
|
{/* Core Mechanics */}
|
||||||
<div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-4">
|
<div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
|
||||||
<div className="p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-2">
|
<div className="p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-3 flex flex-col">
|
||||||
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-teal-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">1. Monetization Gap & ROI-to-CapEx</h4>
|
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-teal-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">1. Monetization Gap & ROI-to-CapEx</h4>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans">
|
<div className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans space-y-2 flex-1">
|
||||||
Monitors segment revenues (e.g. Azure, AWS, Google Cloud, Meta Family of Apps) against capital spending growth. A negative monetization gap signals segment revenues are growing slower than capital investments. A collapsing ROI-to-CapEx ratio highlights write-down risks.
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
Monitors segment revenues (Azure, AWS, Google Cloud, Meta Family of Apps) against capital spending growth. The **Monetization Gap** is defined as the cloud-segment revenue growth percentage minus the absolute CapEx growth percentage:
|
||||||
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
<BlockMath math="G_{\text{monetization}} = \Delta \text{Rev}_{\text{segment}} - \Delta \text{CapEx}" />
|
||||||
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
A negative monetization gap (<InlineMath math="G_{\text{monetization}} < 0" />) signals that cloud revenues are growing slower than capital investments, indicating potential write-down risks.
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-2">
|
<div className="p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-3 flex flex-col">
|
||||||
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-teal-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">2. Supply-Chain Velocity Index</h4>
|
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-teal-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">2. Supply-Chain Velocity Index</h4>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans">
|
<div className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans space-y-2 flex-1">
|
||||||
Compares cloud buyers' future purchase obligations (disclosed in notes of 10-Q reports) against Nvidia's spot inventory turnover speeds. A collapsing velocity index indicates buyers are cutting back forward purchase commitments relative to hardware supplier stockpiles.
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
Data origins are automated parsers indexing SEC 10-Q filings for forward capital allocations. The **Supply-Chain Velocity Index** maps the buyers' forward purchase commitments against the hardware supplier's (Nvidia) spot inventory:
|
||||||
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
<BlockMath math="V_{\text{sc}} = \frac{\sum_{j \in \text{Buyers}} \text{Purchase Obligations}_{j, t}}{\text{Inventory}_{\text{supplier}, t}}" />
|
||||||
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
This compares forward commitments to the supplier's balance sheet inventory levels to diagnose macro overcapacity and demand corrections 3-6 months in advance.
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="p-4 rounded-xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-2">
|
<div className="p-5 rounded-2xl border border-slate-800/60 bg-slate-950/40 space-y-3 flex flex-col">
|
||||||
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-teal-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">3. Cluster Leverage (D/E & CapEx/Dep)</h4>
|
<h4 className="text-xs font-bold text-teal-400 uppercase tracking-wider font-mono">3. Cluster Leverage (D/E & CapEx/Dep)</h4>
|
||||||
<p className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans">
|
<div className="text-xs text-slate-400 leading-relaxed font-sans space-y-2 flex-1">
|
||||||
Monitors CapEx-to-depreciation ratios (ratios > 3x indicate hyper-aggressive server capacity additions) alongside Debt-to-Equity changes to assess whether the AI cluster construction is funded by leverage, exposing firms to massive future amortization drag.
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
Monitors CapEx-to-depreciation ratios alongside Debt-to-Equity changes:
|
||||||
</p>
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
<BlockMath math="R_{\text{capex-dep}} = \frac{\text{CapEx}}{\text{Depreciation}}" />
|
||||||
|
<p>
|
||||||
|
Ratios exceeding <InlineMath math="3\times" /> indicate hyper-aggressive server capacity expansion. When this occurs alongside rising Debt-to-Equity ratios, it indicates that cluster construction is funded by leverage, exposing firms to massive future amortization drag.
|
||||||
|
</p>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user