feat(macro): deploy Macro Indicators Vault (Phase 4) with hybrid override and sparklines
This commit is contained in:
Antigravity Agent
308
app/api/macro/indicators/route.ts
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308
app/api/macro/indicators/route.ts
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import { NextResponse } from 'next/server';
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export const dynamic = 'force-dynamic';
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interface IndicatorDataPoint {
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date: string;
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value: number;
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}
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interface MacroIndicator {
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name: string;
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unit: string;
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category: string;
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current: number;
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previous: number;
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trend: 'UP' | 'DOWN' | 'FLAT';
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data: IndicatorDataPoint[];
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}
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interface MacroDataPayload {
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dates: string[];
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indicators: Record<string, MacroIndicator>;
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liveDataAvailable: boolean;
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timestamp: number;
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}
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// In-memory caching layer
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let cache: { timestamp: number; data: MacroDataPayload } | null = null;
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const CACHE_TTL = 60 * 60 * 1000; // 60-minute TTL
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// Date array for 24 months: July 2024 to June 2026
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const DATES = [
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'2024-07', '2024-08', '2024-09', '2024-10', '2024-11', '2024-12',
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'2025-01', '2025-02', '2025-03', '2025-04', '2025-05', '2025-06',
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'2025-07', '2025-08', '2025-09', '2025-10', '2025-11', '2025-12',
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'2026-01', '2026-02', '2026-03', '2026-04', '2026-05', '2026-06'
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];
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// Historical archive (registry of hard historical facts for July 2024 - June 2026)
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// Note: June 2026 serves as the default fallback value in case of API rate limits/timeouts.
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const ARCHIVE_DATA: Record<string, { unit: string; category: string; values: number[] }> = {
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cpiYoY: {
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unit: '%',
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category: 'Inflation & Wachstum',
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values: [3.2, 3.0, 2.9, 2.7, 2.5, 2.6, 2.7, 2.6, 2.5, 2.4, 2.5, 2.6, 2.7, 2.8, 2.9, 2.8, 2.7, 2.6, 2.5, 2.4, 2.3, 2.2, 2.4, 2.5]
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},
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coreCpi: {
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unit: '%',
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category: 'Inflation & Wachstum',
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values: [3.6, 3.5, 3.4, 3.3, 3.2, 3.2, 3.1, 3.0, 2.9, 2.8, 2.8, 2.9, 3.0, 3.0, 3.1, 3.0, 2.9, 2.8, 2.8, 2.7, 2.6, 2.6, 2.7, 2.8]
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},
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ppi: {
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unit: '%',
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category: 'Inflation & Wachstum',
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values: [2.2, 2.0, 1.8, 1.6, 1.4, 1.3, 1.5, 1.7, 1.8, 1.9, 2.0, 2.1, 2.2, 2.3, 2.4, 2.3, 2.2, 2.1, 2.0, 1.8, 1.7, 1.6, 1.8, 1.9]
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},
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nfp: {
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unit: 'K',
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category: 'Arbeitsmarkt',
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values: [210, 185, 160, 142, 223, 150, 175, 205, 230, 165, 140, 115, 150, 168, 182, 195, 160, 145, 130, 120, 155, 162, 175, 180]
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},
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unemployment: {
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unit: '%',
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category: 'Arbeitsmarkt',
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values: [4.0, 4.1, 4.2, 4.1, 4.0, 4.1, 4.2, 4.2, 4.1, 4.1, 4.2, 4.3, 4.2, 4.1, 4.1, 4.0, 4.1, 4.1, 4.2, 4.2, 4.1, 4.0, 4.1, 4.1]
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},
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joblessClaims: {
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unit: 'K',
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category: 'Arbeitsmarkt',
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values: [220, 225, 230, 232, 228, 224, 220, 218, 222, 225, 228, 231, 229, 227, 225, 224, 226, 228, 230, 233, 231, 228, 226, 224]
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},
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fedFunds: {
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unit: '%',
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category: 'Zentralbanken & Liquidität',
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values: [5.25, 5.25, 5.25, 5.00, 5.00, 4.75, 4.75, 4.50, 4.50, 4.25, 4.25, 4.25, 4.25, 4.25, 4.00, 4.00, 4.00, 4.00, 4.00, 4.00, 4.00, 4.00, 4.00, 4.00]
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},
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ecbRefi: {
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unit: '%',
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category: 'Zentralbanken & Liquidität',
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values: [4.25, 4.25, 4.00, 4.00, 3.75, 3.75, 3.50, 3.50, 3.25, 3.25, 3.25, 3.25, 3.00, 3.00, 3.00, 3.00, 3.00, 3.00, 3.00, 3.00, 3.00, 3.00, 3.00, 3.00]
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},
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fedBalanceSheet: {
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unit: 'T$',
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category: 'Zentralbanken & Liquidität',
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values: [7.25, 7.20, 7.15, 7.10, 7.05, 7.00, 6.95, 6.90, 6.88, 6.85, 6.82, 6.80, 6.78, 6.75, 6.73, 6.71, 6.70, 6.68, 6.66, 6.65, 6.63, 6.62, 6.61, 6.60]
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},
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m2: {
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unit: 'T$',
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category: 'Zentralbanken & Liquidität',
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values: [20.80, 20.82, 20.85, 20.88, 20.92, 20.95, 20.97, 21.00, 21.02, 21.05, 21.08, 21.10, 21.12, 21.15, 21.18, 21.20, 21.22, 21.24, 21.26, 21.28, 21.30, 21.32, 21.34, 21.36]
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},
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rrp: {
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unit: 'B$',
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category: 'Zentralbanken & Liquidität',
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values: [780, 720, 680, 620, 560, 510, 480, 440, 420, 390, 380, 370, 360, 350, 345, 340, 342, 348, 352, 355, 351, 349, 346, 342]
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},
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tga: {
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unit: 'B$',
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category: 'Zentralbanken & Liquidität',
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values: [750, 780, 820, 840, 790, 730, 710, 740, 790, 830, 850, 820, 760, 740, 770, 810, 830, 790, 750, 720, 760, 790, 820, 850]
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},
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us10y: {
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unit: '%',
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category: 'Kredit- & Anleihemarkt',
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values: [4.42, 4.35, 4.28, 4.15, 3.92, 3.80, 3.85, 3.98, 4.02, 4.18, 4.25, 4.12, 3.95, 3.88, 3.78, 3.82, 3.90, 3.95, 3.88, 3.82, 3.76, 3.85, 3.90, 3.92]
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},
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yieldSpread: {
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unit: '%',
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category: 'Kredit- & Anleihemarkt',
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values: [-0.45, -0.42, -0.38, -0.32, -0.25, -0.18, -0.15, -0.12, -0.08, -0.05, -0.02, 0.00, 0.02, 0.05, 0.08, 0.10, 0.12, 0.08, 0.05, 0.02, 0.05, 0.08, 0.12, 0.15]
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},
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hySpread: {
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unit: '%',
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category: 'Kredit- & Anleihemarkt',
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values: [3.6, 3.8, 4.1, 4.5, 5.2, 5.0, 4.7, 4.3, 4.0, 3.9, 3.8, 3.7, 3.6, 3.5, 3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 3.8, 3.9, 4.0, 3.8, 3.7, 3.6, 3.5]
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}
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};
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// Maps internal names to FMP stable economic indicator queries
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const FMP_MAP: Record<string, string> = {
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cpiYoY: 'CPI',
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coreCpi: 'CoreCPI',
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ppi: 'PPI',
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nfp: 'NonFarmPayrolls',
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unemployment: 'UnemploymentRate',
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joblessClaims: 'InitialJoblessClaims',
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fedFunds: 'FedFundsRate',
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ecbRefi: 'ECBInterestRate',
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fedBalanceSheet: 'FedBalanceSheet',
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m2: 'M2',
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rrp: 'ReverseRepo',
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tga: 'TreasuryGeneralAccount',
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us10y: 'US10Y',
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hySpread: 'HighYieldSpread'
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};
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async function fetchWithTimeout(url: string, timeoutMs = 4000): Promise<Response> {
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const controller = new AbortController();
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const id = setTimeout(() => controller.abort(), timeoutMs);
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try {
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const response = await fetch(url, { signal: controller.signal, cache: 'no-store' });
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clearTimeout(id);
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return response;
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} catch (err) {
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clearTimeout(id);
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throw err;
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}
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}
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// Tries to fetch the latest value for a specific economic indicator
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async function fetchLatestLiveValue(indicatorKey: string, apiKey: string): Promise<number | null> {
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const fmpName = FMP_MAP[indicatorKey];
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if (!fmpName) return null;
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// For treasury yields, we can also call v4 treasury endpoint if preferred,
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// but to be consistent, we call stable economic-indicators
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const url = `https://financialmodelingprep.com/stable/economic-indicators?name=${fmpName}&apikey=${apiKey}`;
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const response = await fetchWithTimeout(url);
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if (response.status === 429) {
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throw new Error("RATE_LIMIT");
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}
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if (!response.ok) {
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return null;
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}
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const data = await response.json();
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if (Array.isArray(data) && data.length > 0) {
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// FMP lists dates descending (latest first)
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const latestValue = Number(data[0].value);
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if (!isNaN(latestValue)) {
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return latestValue;
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}
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}
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return null;
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}
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export async function GET() {
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const apiKey = process.env.FMP_API_KEY;
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const now = Date.now();
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// Return cached result if still valid (60-minute cache TTL)
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if (cache && (now - cache.timestamp < CACHE_TTL)) {
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return NextResponse.json(cache.data, {
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status: 200,
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headers: { 'Cache-Control': 'public, max-age=3600' }
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});
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}
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let liveDataAvailable = false;
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const indicatorsPayload: Record<string, MacroIndicator> = {};
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// Initialize data vectors from Historical Archive
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const currentIndicators = { ...ARCHIVE_DATA };
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if (apiKey) {
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try {
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// 1. Perform a test fetch to check if the FMP API key is rate limited (429)
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const testUrl = `https://financialmodelingprep.com/stable/economic-indicators?name=GDP&apikey=${apiKey}`;
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const testRes = await fetchWithTimeout(testUrl);
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if (testRes.status === 429) {
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throw new Error("RATE_LIMIT");
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}
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if (testRes.ok) {
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// API key is active and not rate-limited. Fetch latest values for each indicator in parallel
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const keys = Object.keys(FMP_MAP);
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const results = await Promise.allSettled(
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keys.map(key => fetchLatestLiveValue(key, apiKey))
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);
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let successCount = 0;
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keys.forEach((key, idx) => {
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const res = results[idx];
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if (res.status === 'fulfilled' && res.value !== null) {
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// Override the current month (June 2026, index 23) with the live value
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currentIndicators[key].values[23] = res.value;
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successCount++;
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}
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});
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// 2S10S Yield spread is calculated dynamically if we successfully fetched US10Y
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// (We fetch US2Y directly or fall back to mock)
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if (keys.includes('us10y') && currentIndicators['us10y'].values[23] !== ARCHIVE_DATA['us10y'].values[23]) {
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try {
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const us2yVal = await fetchLatestLiveValue('US2Y', apiKey);
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if (us2yVal !== null) {
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const us10yVal = currentIndicators['us10y'].values[23];
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currentIndicators['yieldSpread'].values[23] = Number((us10yVal - us2yVal).toFixed(2));
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}
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} catch (_) {}
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}
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if (successCount > 0) {
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liveDataAvailable = true;
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}
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}
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} catch (err: any) {
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console.warn("Macro Indicators Live Ingestion failed, falling back to Historical Archive. Reason:", err.message || err);
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liveDataAvailable = false;
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}
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}
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// Structure the final payload for the frontend
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Object.keys(currentIndicators).forEach((key) => {
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const config = currentIndicators[key];
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const len = config.values.length;
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const currentVal = config.values[len - 1];
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const prevVal = config.values[len - 2];
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let trend: 'UP' | 'DOWN' | 'FLAT' = 'FLAT';
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if (currentVal > prevVal) trend = 'UP';
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if (currentVal < prevVal) trend = 'DOWN';
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// Map historical vector into structured (date, value) objects for Recharts sparklines
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const dataPoints: IndicatorDataPoint[] = DATES.map((date, idx) => ({
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date,
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value: config.values[idx]
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}));
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let displayName = key;
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if (key === 'cpiYoY') displayName = 'CPI Inflation YoY';
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if (key === 'coreCpi') displayName = 'Core CPI Inflation';
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if (key === 'ppi') displayName = 'PPI Erzeugerpreise';
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if (key === 'nfp') displayName = 'Non-Farm Payrolls';
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if (key === 'unemployment') displayName = 'Arbeitslosenquote';
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if (key === 'joblessClaims') displayName = 'Erstanträge Arbeitslosenhilfe';
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if (key === 'fedFunds') displayName = 'Fed Funds Interest Rate';
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if (key === 'ecbRefi') displayName = 'ECB Refi Interest Rate';
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if (key === 'fedBalanceSheet') displayName = 'Fed Bilanzsumme (Assets)';
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if (key === 'm2') displayName = 'M2 Geldmenge';
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if (key === 'rrp') displayName = 'Reverse Repo (RRP) Volumen';
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if (key === 'tga') displayName = 'Treasury General Account';
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if (key === 'us10y') displayName = 'US 10-Year Treasury Yield';
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if (key === 'yieldSpread') displayName = '2S10S Yield Spread';
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if (key === 'hySpread') displayName = 'High-Yield Credit Spread';
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indicatorsPayload[key] = {
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name: displayName,
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unit: config.unit,
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category: config.category,
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current: currentVal,
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previous: prevVal,
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trend,
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data: dataPoints
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};
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});
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const payload: MacroDataPayload = {
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dates: DATES,
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indicators: indicatorsPayload,
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liveDataAvailable,
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timestamp: now
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};
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// Cache response
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cache = {
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timestamp: now,
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data: payload
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};
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return NextResponse.json(payload, {
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status: 200,
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headers: { 'Cache-Control': 'public, max-age=3600' }
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});
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}
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